Thursday, May 29, 2008

Clashes on Durbar Marg mar republic celebrations

Riot police encircle the statue of King Mahendra on Durbar Marg.
Early on Thursday morning people had climbed onto the statue and
tried to drape it with the national flag. After Nepal officially became
a republic on Wednesday night, the historic first sitting of the
Constituent Assembly declared the 240 year old Shah dynasty
null and void, giving the last remaining head of
the dynasty 15 days to vacate the Narayanhiti Palace.

Kantipur Report
KATHMANDU, May 29 - Excited crowds and riot police clashed in front of the main gate of the Narayanhiti Palace on Durbar Marg throughout Thursday after republic celebrations turned unruly.

Around a dozen persons from both sides were reported injured. Durbar Marg was the scene of frequent skirmishes today after crowds of people, euphoric with the declaration of a federal democratic republic, marched to the Narayanhiti Palace to hoist the national flag on its walls. Police had to fire tear gas to bring the situation under control after demonstrations turned violent.


The people chanted anti-King slogans demanding the king to leave the palace immediately. Elements at the head of the crowd managed to hoist the national flag on the main gate of the palace which overlooks Durbar Marg, also popularly known as King’s Way, stating that the government had delayed hoisting the national flag in the palace premises even after the royal flag was removed by palace officials early this morning.However, police personnel quickly intervened and used batons to push back the crowd and removed the flags hoisted by the demonstrators.


The demonstrators also attempted to cover the statue of King Mahendra on King’s Way with the national flag but were stopped by riot police. Early this morning, palace officials had removed the flag with the royal seal inside the palace premises at about 8 am today after the first sitting of the Constituent Assembly yesterday announced the country a republic and abolished the centuries old monarchy.


The CA meeting had also directed the king to leave the palace within 15 days. The government had earlier declared Durbar Marg a prohibited zone for all forms of rallies and demonstrations.

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Maoists to lay claim to govt leadership

The central Committee meeting of CPN-Maoist has decided that the party would claim leadership of the next government, as it has emerged as the single largest party in the Constituent Assembly.

“We should get a chance to lead the government but we will work in tandem with other major parties,” Maoist leader CP Gajurel told this daily about the party’s decision. He said his party was in favour of intensifying dialogue with other major parties to forge a consensus. The party formed a sixmember committee under the coordination of Ram Bahadur Thapa ‘Badal’ to finalise the names for 100 PR seats the party has won under PR system. RSS quotes Gajurel as saying that the Maoists will not allow amendment to the Constitution to appoint or oust the PM by a simple majority.

He said, “The meeting has taken decision that the appointment of the PM and the formation of the government should be done in accordance with the present constitution.” Interim Constitution states that the PM’s appointment shall be done on the basis of two thirds majority if consensus could not be reached among the political parties. He added that the meeting formally took a decision to ask party chairman Prachanda to take up the responsibility of the head of state-cum-government.

Meanwhile, central committee of the Madhesi Janadhikar Forum met today to review its election performance. According to MJF central committee member Shyamanand Shuman, his party would finalise the names for PR seats tomorrow. Asked about the party’s future strategy, he said, “We will pressure the NCled government to stepdown, as it has lost the mandate to lead.” He said the Maoists had the people’s mandate to lead the next government. “Our next strategy will be to rally support of other stakeholders to end ambiguities in the Interim con stitution with regard to the formation and ouster of a government,” he said. NC vice-president Gopal Man Shrestha said the Maoists should form the next government on the basis of a consensus.

“Let it be loud and clear we don’t want to go against the popular mandate by exploring the alternative to the Maoist-led government at this point,” he said. He added that the Maoists should renounce all kinds of violence and fulfil their past commitments to convince others that they have really transformed into a democratic party. He also criticised the UML for pulling out of the government even as it has urged the PM not to quit the government until a political consensus is evolved for a next government. UML leaders, however, hold a tougher line and maintain that they can forge understanding with the Maoists only if the latter strictly adhere to the peace pact. UML leader Ishwor Pokharel said, “We have to seek consensus but it should not come at the cost of our identity.”

The central Committee meeting of CPN-Maoist has decided that the party would claim leadership of the next government, as it has emerged as the single largest party in the Constituent Assembly. “We should get a chance to lead the government but we will work in tandem with other major parties,” Maoist leader CP Gajurel told this daily about the party’s decision. He said his party was in favour of intensifying dialogue with other major parties to forge a consensus.

The party formed a sixmember committee under the coordination of Ram Bahadur Thapa ‘Badal’ to finalise the names for 100 PR seats the party has won under PR system. RSS quotes Gajurel as saying that the Maoists will not allow amendment to the Constitution to appoint or oust the PM by a simple majority. He said, “The meeting has taken decision that the appointment of the PM and the formation of the government should be done in accordance with the present constitution.” Interim Constitution states that the PM’s appointment shall be done on the basis of two thirds majority if consensus could not be reached among the political parties.
He added that the meeting formally took a decision to ask party chairman Prachanda to take up the responsibility of the head of state-cum-government.

Meanwhile, central committee of the Madhesi Janadhikar Forum met today to review its election performance. According to MJF central committee member Shyamanand Shuman, his party would finalise the names for PR seats tomorrow. Asked about the party’s future strategy, he said, “We will pressure the NCled government to stepdown, as it has lost the mandate to lead.” He said the Maoists had the people’s mandate to lead the next government. “Our next strategy will be to rally support of other stakeholders to end ambiguities in the Interim con stitution with regard to the formation and ouster of a government,” he said. NC vice-president Gopal Man Shrestha said the Maoists should form the next government on the basis of a consensus.

“Let it be loud and clear we don’t want to go against the popular mandate by exploring the alternative to the Maoist-led government at this point,” he said. He added that the Maoists should renounce all kinds of violence and fulfil their past commitments to convince others that they have really transformed into a democratic party. He also criticised the UML for pulling out of the government even as it has urged the PM not to quit the government until a political consensus is evolved for a next government.

UML leaders, however, hold a tougher line and maintain that they can forge understanding with the Maoists only if the latter strictly adhere to the peace pact. UML leader Ishwor Pokharel said, “We have to seek consensus but it should not come at the cost of our identity.”

Monday, April 28, 2008

Parties begin intra-party talks

Kantipur Report
KATHMANDU, April 28 - The major political parties have stepped up intra-party talks to review the electoral outcome and to decide future strategies following the announcement of the Constituent Assembly (CA) election results. The parties’ central committee meetings will be choosing party representatives under the proportional representation electoral system in the CA. Today, the Nepali Congress Central Working Committee (CWC) meeting resumed at the Prime Minister’s official residence at Baluwatar. The party’s role in the next government and the party’s agendas during the making of a new constitution were key issues duscussed. Speaking at today’s meeting, NC central members remarked that the party was beaten in the CA polls due to weak leadership and Maoist excesses.

The NC leaders maintained their stance that the next government cannot be formed under the leadership of the Maoists, who emerged as the largest party in the CA winning 240 seats out of 575 seats- it failed to secure a majority of two-thirds in the 601-membered CA. However, the NC leaders opined that the party should be prepared for a political consensus with the other parties. Emerging from the meeting, NC central member Dilendra Prasad Badu said, “The NC is prepared to work in alliance with other political parties and will not abandon political consensus,” adding, “NC’s main objective is to establish a republican Nepal and we urge everyone to concentrate on the same.”

Similarly, the CPN-UML central meeting continued today at the party’s central office in Balkhu. Today’s meeting decided to ask PM Koirala to accept the resignation tendered by its ministers of the interim government. The UML standing committee had asked the ministers representing the party in the cabinet to tender their resignations after the party’s humiliating loss in the April 10 polls. PM Koirala had requested the UML ministers to carry out their ministerial responsibilities after the en-masse resignation. However, today’s meeting decided to stand by the standing committee’s decision to withdraw the ministers from the cabinet. The meeting also discussed the political report prepared by the party Acting General Secretary Amrit Bohara, UML sources said. Sunday’s UML meeting had accepted the resignation tabled by Madhav Kumar Nepal from the post of party General Secretary. Nepal had resigned on moral grounds following the party’s humiliating defeat in the CA polls.

Meanwhile, the central committee meeting of the CPN-Maoists kicked off at party Chairman Prachanda’s residence Nayabazaar this afternoon. Among other issues, the committee discussed the formation of the next government, relief programmes, selection of the party’s representatives from the closed-list in the CA under the proportional representation system and the implementation of a republic. Central committee members submitted organizational details from their respective regions while Chairman Prachanda submitted political reports during today’s meeting.

The Maoist meet will decide the model for the party’s participation in the new government after reviewing the electoral results, according to leader Posta Bahadur Bogati alias Diwakar. Diwakar informed that the first CA meeting, the future of the monarchy and the party’s role in drafting a new constitution are other key issues for the committee.
Posted on: 2008-04-28 00:16:29 (Server Time)

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Maoists to work together with private sector

Kantipur Report

KATHMANDU, April 23 - With the emergence of the former rebels CPN-Maoist as the largest party in the new government to be formed soon, the party Wednesday said that it has been striving to work together with the private sector and create a friendly environment for investment for the economic development.

Maoist leadership this morning consulted with office bearers of Federation of Nepalese Chamber of Commerce and Industries (FNCCI) and clarified that they will focus on teaming up with private sector.

Maoist Chairman Prachanda said that they have been concentrating to bring in foreign investment and towards creating a fovourable environment, during the meeting held at Maoist Central Office at Buddhanagar in the capital.

The Maoist Supremo had also urged the team led by FNCCI President Kush Kumar Joshi not to be misguided by the Maoist’s economic policy. Maoist leadership assured that it will include private sector while formulating all kinds of economic policies, Joshi informed.

The meeting comes amidst fears that the Maoist’s economic policy will not be liberal and will nationalise major economic hubs. The entrepreneurs drew the Maoist leadership’s attention towards issues including insufficiency of petroleum products and other necessary commodities.

Maoist Second-in-Command Dr Baburam Bhattarai and Maoist’s economic department chief Krishna Acharya were also present at the meeting that lasted for around two hours.

Latest Poll Tally

Seats -- Party
Maoist -- 120
NC -- 37
UML -- 33
MPRF -- 29
TMDP -- 9
NSP-M -- 4
PFN -- 2
NWPP -- 2
Others -- 3

2nd Loktantra Day observed

A parade at Kathmandu’s Sainik Manch (army pavilion) marks
the 2nd Loktantra Day on Wednesday. Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala
and other high-level government officials attended the programme.

Kantipur Report

KATHMANDU, April 23 - The second anniversary of the historical Loktantra Day was observed through out the country on Wednesday to commemorate the victory of Nepalis people over the direct rule of King Gyanendra. Exactly two years back on this very day (Nepali month Baishakh 11), democracy was restored following a nationwide mass uprising popularly known as April movement for the reinstatement of parliament dissolved by the King.

On the occasion, Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala stated that the responsibility to transform Nepal into a peace and prosperous nation has come upon everyone’s shoulder, in his special message. Stressing on the need of making the responsibility a success through mutual harmony, PM Koirala called on all to end poverty, scarcity, illiteracy and unemployment in the country by establishing new culture and tradition.

Likewise, CPN-UML Acting General Secretary Amrit Bohora underscored the need to focus on drafting a new Constitution adding it is the responsibility of everyone at this historical juncture. Also on this special day for all Nepalis, senior NC leader and former Prime Minister Sher Bahadur Deuba offered condolences to the martyrs and conveyed his best wishes to the people.

Marking the Loktantra Day, a special programme was organised at the Army forum in Tudikhel in which Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala, other Ministers, Speaker, Chief Justice, constitutional heads, heads of security agencies among others participated. The government also held a tea reception at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Sheetal Niwas this noon. Ministers, speaker of the parliament, leaders of various political parties, high ranking officials, heads of foreign diplomatic agencies, industrialists, businessmen and prominient figures of diiferent fields were present in the reception organised by the PM. Speaking to the press during the reception, Speaker Subash Nemwang said that formulation of a new constitution is the chief responsibility of the CA. “High level of understanding between the all the major political parties is essential. Unity among the people of all castes, ethnicity and religion is necessary. Then only can we formulate a feasible and strong new constitution,” Nemwang said.

However, senior leaders of CPN-Maoist did not attend the PM’s reception.
Various programmes have been organised, not just in the capital but, nationwide to mark the historical day. The Home Ministry has urged everyone to light up their houses in the evening for three days starting Tuesday to mark the Loktantra Day.

Monday, April 21, 2008

India: How will Maoist gains in Nepal shape two countries' ties?

Maoist leader Prachanda


The Maoist party had a surprisingly strong showing in recent elections. India is worried about the impact on its own Maoist rebel movement, the Naxalites.
By Mian Ridge
from the April 22, 2008 edition

The victory of Nepal's Maoists is as worrying for neighboring giant India as it was surprising. Following the former rebels' strong showing in general elections this month, government officials in New Delhi are wondering where the Maoists' victory leaves relations between the two countries. They are also concerned that the win may embolden India's own Maoist movement.
According to results posted Monday, Maoists won half of the 240 directly elected seats. Results for an additional 335 seats allotted to political parties based on the percentage are expected later in the week. Nepal's Maoists have said they want to scrap the Treaty of Peace and Friendship signed by Nepal and India in 1950. The treaty defines the countries' relationship, allowing Nepalis and Indians to travel freely across each other's borders. Until 1969, it also allowed India to keep security positions on Nepal's border with China.
(A map of the region can be found here.)
But it is the effect the win will have on Indian Maoists – a group known as Naxalites – that poses the greatest threat to India, reports Agence France-Presse. India's Naxalites say they are fighting for India's poor and landless – just as Nepal's Maoists did. India's prime minister, Manmohan Singh, has previously identified the Naxalite movement as the country's single biggest security threat. The Naxalites had reportedly expanded to half of India's 28 states in 1996, prompting a military counteroffensive, said The Christian Science Monitor.

Daily News and Analysis, a Mumbai (Bombay) newspaper, reports the concerns of an official from India's Border Security Force (BSF) about possible future links between the two groups: No direct links between Nepali Maoists and Naxalites in India have been established. But what turn it will take in the near future, your guess is as good as mine. When you have a Marxist government in Nepal, there may possibly be sympathies with Maoists here. It is too early to say anything," said AK Mitra, BSF director general....

The Nepal Telegraph, noting that the Indian ambassador to Nepal, Shiva Shanker Mukherjee, had met with "Comrade" Prachanda – the nom de guerre of Nepal's Maoist leader, which means "fierce" or "terrible" – said that India was anxious that Nepal not scrap "unequal treaties" made between the two countries.

However, with the new earth shaking political developments in Nepal and the Maoists ready to form their own new government in a matter of month[s] if not days, a nervous looking Indian establishment is doing all it can in order to "calm down" the Maoists possible wrath that they are sure to exhibit against India the moment they step in the power corridors in Singh Durbar.
New Delhi is pretty concerned with the Maoists' presumed insistence on changing the 1950 and other unequal treaties signed with Nepal at different intervals of history.

Writing in The Times of India, columnist Swapan Dasgupta Deep said that India's attempts to foster diplomatic ties with Nepal's new leaders would be pointless. Maybe it is best to let bygones be bygones and allow the Maoists an opportunity to change their stripes. Unfortunately, if history is anything to go by, the prospects of those who capture power [by] professing Marxism-Leninism, transforming themselves instantly into honourable social-democrats, are extremely remote. Revolutionaries do see the light eventually, but not as long as the pioneers of the revolution are at the helm. Africa is littered with examples of radical nationalists who lost no time subverting the Constitution and turning their countries into one-party autocracies. Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe who "stole an election" last month followed a long tradition of self-professed Marxist-Leninists who believe 'once in power, always in power'. But other commentators were more hopeful of improved future relations between the two countries. India's Financial Express reported that India had expressed such a hope during Mr. Mukherjee's meeting with Prachanda .
And The Press Trust of India (PTI) news wire reported that the Maoists were in talks with the United States to lose their "terrorist" tag. Outlook, a leading Indian news magazine, noted that thus far, Prachanda had shown signs of being a sensible and cautious leader. So far the statements from Prachanda and others of his ilk have been sober and statesman-like, keeping a balanced approach between India and China. He recognises that developments in Nepal are tied to India and the two share a special relationship. Mukherjee got a call from Prachanda's office soon after the victory trend became clear, asking for a meeting. In the half-hour meeting, the Indian ambassador assured him of all support. Sources say the Maoists appreciate that India stuck with the democratic process and helped with material and money.

The most important task for India's foreign office is to help shape events in Nepal so that New Delhi's vital interests are secure and the open border does not become a security threat. [Nepal's] government has been "responsive" to Indian concerns about Pakistan using the Indo-Nepal border to send across troublemakers. China too is entrenched in the area. But in the end it is India's responsibility to "sanitise" the border, keep up surveillance, monitor the traffic, and build the infrastructure on its side. "You need cooperation from Nepal but you also need to do your own job more vigorously," a well-informed official said.

Indeed, many analysts expect the former rebels to be pragmatic in power, focusing on development. Nepal, one of the world's poorest countries, has suffered from decades of weak governance. The Maoists know that they will be unable to reduce poverty without the support of India, Nepal's main trading partner and the source of its fuel.

The weekly news magazine India Today noted that Prachanda had acknowledged the importance of a cordial relationship with Nepal's big neighbors. He had specifically mentioned the importance of friendly relations with India and China, the paper reported. Because the Maoists could ill-afford to antagonize Delhi, India should seize the opportunity to strengthen ties with Nepal.

Arvind Deo, a retired Indian diplomat, writing in the Economic Times also urged India to play a constructive role in Nepal's future development: India has some vital security concerns which need to be put across tactfully but unambiguously. In offering economic assistance for development, India must be generous without sacrificing any of its long-term interests. We must remember that it always pays to be courteous yet firm. Commentator Anuj Mishra, a Nepali journalist, writing on the Open Democracy blog predicted that India would have little to fear from Nepal's new leaders. However, the Maoists do have substantial limitations in their maneuverability, not least from regard for the wishes of the international community and of India. The former provides much of Nepal's development budget and the latter has not only enormous regional economic clout, but, more importantly was midwife of the April 2006 political process. Hence Nepal's move from Monarchy towards a liberal democratic republic is being led by a party which calls itself Maoist, and which it will not be, save in its name.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Maoists ask UML to reconsider pull-out from govt

KATHMANDU, April 17 - The CPN-Maoist Thursday requested the CPN-UML to rethink its decision on withdrawing from the government. Maoist Chairman Prachanda called on UML leader Madhav Kumar Nepal, who recently resigned from the General Secretarial post of his party, this morning and asked him to reconsider withdrawal from the government. Following Prachanda’s request, Nepal said that the decision comes from the meeting of UML Standing Committee (politburo) adding the UML is committed to the seven-party unity.

During the nearly 45 minute-long meeting at Nepal’s residence at Koteshwor in the capital today, the duo discussed the results of the Constituent Assembly (CA) elections and future strategies. Maoists second-in-command Dr Babu Ram Bhattarai was also present at the meeting.
The UML, which was the second largest political party after the Nepali Congress following the last parliamentary election in 1999, pulled out of the coalition government Wednesday after it suffered a huge loss in the CA polls. All seven ministers of the party submitted their joint resignation to Prime Minister Girija Prasad Koirala at Baluwatar.

Almost all Standing Committee and Central Committee members, including Nepal, KP Oli, Bamdev Gautam, Bharat Mohan Adhikari, Raghuji Panta, Keshav Badal, Yubaraj Gyawali, Bidya Devi Bhandari and Krishna Gopal Shrestha, have lost in the CA elections. The UML is leading in the second position in the ongoing vote count under Proportional Representation

POLL TALLY
Party --- Seats

Maoist --- 116
NWPP --- 2
NC --- 33
SP-M --- 3
UML --- 31
PFN --- 2
MPRF --- 24
TMDP --- 7
Others --- 2

Nepal Maoists to embrace capitalism

NEW DELHI: Maoist supremo Prachanda, whose party is poised to form a coalition government in Nepal, said capitalism will be the new regime’s tool for bringing economic advancement.

Reports from Kathmandu quoting Prachanda said Maoists will promote capitalism and encourage foreign investment. This statement is expected to soothe the frayed nerves of those who have invested in Nepal. Mr Prachanda assured industrialists that Maoists were not going to nationalise industries at the moment. "We will allow private investment and also promote foreign investment. Don’t loose confidence, we are not going to capture industries, but we need your cooperation to gain economic prosperity," he said.

But industries will have to function under the gaze of the Maoists was clear when he said that the new government will provide a force to guard industrial establishments. He said the government will "create conducive industrial environment to businesses by creating special security force with the involvement of Maoist combatants stationed in cantonments."

Prachanda also appealed to the private sector to trust them fully and give them a chance saying the government will expand the tax base, eliminate red tape and end culture of commissions and corruption.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Maoists continue to be on a roll

The Maoists are clearly emerging as the largest party in the country after the April 10 constituent assembly election as it has won 112 out of the 200 con stituencies declared till late tonight. The Maoists are also leading in four constituencies. Nepali Congress stands in the second position today as it now has 31 candidates elected to the constituent assembly, while the CPN-UML is trailing in the third position with 28 candidates elected for the constituent assembly. The NC is leading in two constituences, while the UML is also leading in two constituencies till late tonight.

The newly formed Madhesi Janadhikar Forum is in the fourth position with its 19 candidates securing victory in the election.

The Tarai Madhes Democratic Party follows the MJF with six of their candidates winning so far. Nepal Workers' and Peasants' Party has not been able to increase its seats in the assembly after winning both the constituencies in Bhaktapur a couple of days ago. The Sadbhavana Party has expanded its win to two constituencies, while the People's Front Nepal has managed to win only one constituency. The election results continued to surprise the country today, too. Independent candidate Baban Singh, who is in the police's most-wanted list, has been elected to the assembly with an impressive 9,201 votes. Singh's rival Ajaya Kumar Gupta of the Sadbhawana Party secured 6,588 votes.

People's Front Nepal Vice-chairman Lilamani Pokharel was humbled by Maoist candidate Nir Kumari Kunwar in Sindhuli-3 while Bal Bahadur KC was defeated by his Maoist contender Gopal Kirati at NC's bastion in Solukhumbu.

UML leader Madhav Kumar Nepal lost to Maoist Devendra Prasad Patel in Rautahat-6. Patel won in Rautahat-6 with 10,133 votes, while Nepal polled 8,966 votes. Altogether 240 members are to be elected to the 601 member constituent assembly through the firstpast-the-post election and 335 members are elected through proportional rep- resentation.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Strong showing by the Maoists in Nepal elections has taken its influential neighbour India by surprise.



Some fear Nepal's Maoists could encourage Maoist rebels in India

By Sanjoy Majumder BBC News, Delhi April 14, 2008

Diplomats at its sprawling embassy in Kathmandu, its largest mission anywhere, privately concede that it is a result that they hardly expected and least favoured. With a strong possibility of the Maoists forming the next government, many in Delhi are wondering where it leaves relations between the two countries. While India has nurtured some ties with the former rebels, there is growing concern over the Maoists' links with China, and also with India's own troubling Maoist insurgency. Reports in the Indian and Nepalese media have quoted Maoist leader Prachanda talking about taking a more "balanced" approach in his country’s dealings with its neighbours. Saying that he will develop "new relations" with India, he is reported to have said that Nepal will maintain an equal distance between Delhi and Beijing. It is a comment that has already sent policy-makers in Delhi into a tailspin.

Special relationship


Many here are concerned that the Maoists will use their new-found electoral clout as leverage over India. "It means that the special relationship between India and Nepal which dates back to British days and 1950 is in its terminal phase," says KV Rajan, a former Indian ambassador to Nepal. A Treaty of Peace and Friendship, which both countries signed in 1950, defined their political and economic relationship.


Under the Treaty, people living in both countries could freely travel across the border for employment, and could reside in either place. It also granted preferential trade arrangements and, until 1969, allowed India to maintain security posts in Nepal's northern border with China, as well as a military mission in Kathmandu. India's basic concern, say diplomats, was always China. Delhi, which had already fought a bitter border war with Beijing in 1962 which it lost comprehensively, was paranoid about China establishing a major presence in Kathmandu.

Influence


"The 1950 treaty was basically meant to help address India's security needs," says Ambassador Rajan. "In return, Nepal got economic benefits, such as the right to live and work in India. That was the basic arrangement." But increasingly, many Nepalese were uncomfortable with the Treaty, believing it gave India major political and economic influence. The Maoists have regularly raised the issue and said they want the Treaty scrapped. They also want a review of other agreements, especially those relating to river water and irrigation – issues which are very sensitive on both sides of the border.
And there is the question of links between the Maoists in Nepal and those in India.

Security threat

India's bloody Maoist insurgency runs across a broad swathe of its territory from its northern border with Nepal down to its central tribal belt and the southern state of Andhra Pradesh. It was recently identified by the Indian Prime Minister, Manmohan Singh, as the country's single biggest security threat. Security experts believe that the Maoist victory in Nepal will come as a big morale booster to Maoist rebels fighting in India. India's problems also stem from the fact that they have traditionally backed the mainstream political parties, particularly the Nepali Congress of the outgoing Prime Minister, Girija Prasad Koirala.
They have always backed a role for the monarchy, too, albeit one that has changed somewhat over the past two years following the pro-democracy protests of 2006.
Ironically, many of the senior Maoist leaders have studied in India and would often hide in the country at the height of the insurgency.

Next government

They also have relatively close ties with India’s own mainstream Communist parties, who support the governing coalition in Delhi. But their influence is limited, particularly after the Maoists' current political position following the election. "We will have to accept that India will have to deal differently with the next government, and accept that Prachanda represents the sensitivities and aspirations of the majority of Nepalese," says one foreign office mandarin who wished to remain unnamed. But there are some who believe it is time for relations between both countries to change, and reflect the new realities, rather than be mired in history. "Our relation was one between a sovereign country and a semi-protectorate. It now needs to be one of equals," says Ambassador Rajan. Ultimately, some believe, India’s importance to Nepal outweighs its political imperatives. Both countries have strong cultural, economic and ethnic ties, and India is Nepal's largest neighbour. And many here think that no government can ignore that.

Nepal's Constituent Assembly Elections - Unfolding Message!

With about one half of the results of the election to the Constituent Assembly (CA) having al ready been out, the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) is sweeping over the country, its seat tally exceeding the combined total of all the other parties combined, at least so far. Under the First Past the Post system, 240 seats are available for grabs, and under proportional representation, the number is 335. Given the trend seen in the counting in progress, the CPNM is clearly heading to be, at least, the single largest party in the CA. The results so far have con founded almost all predictions, as they had expected the CPNM to emerge to be a distant third behind the Congress and the CPNUML.

First of all, the people's popular vote for the Maoists has established them as a legitimate force in Nepal, and reflects the people's endorsement of the causes the Maoists have championed through their People's War, later expressed in the present peace process. The people, it may well be supposed, have also indicated their dissatisfaction with a situation in which some other party has been at the head of the government since Jana Andolan II, despite the fact that the nation has adopted the Maoist agendas, which form the central tenets of the peace process. The voters have made known their desire to see the originators of the agendas to be in the lead role, too, in implementing them. The electorate's endorsement of the peace process also means the need for all the parties to work together to bring the process to a logical conclusion based on cooperation and understanding, at least till the Constitution is drawn up and promulgated. Indeed, the Interim Constitution stresses consensus even after the CA polls. And the leaders of the three major parties – the Congress, the CPNUML and the CPNM – had pledged even before the April 10 election that, irrespective of whichever party won a majority, there would be a coalition government. This spirit must be kept up. The unfolding popular mandate is expected to make the political transition smoother and the resolution of contentious issues like the adjustment of the PLA combatants easier. The decimation of the Congress and the UML and the defeat of most of their central leaders will not be without serious implications for those parties.

CPNUML general secretary Madhav Nepal and Congress acting president Sushil Kerala have already announced their resignation from their respective posts after they lost the election. The outcome may well mark a decline in influence of the Koirala family on the Congress politics, not only because of the poor Congress performance but also of the defeat of daughter Sujata in Sunsari and nephew Shekhar Koirala in Morang. The royalist parties of former Pinches have been eliminated. But in their place, Tara based parties have emerged. Whatever the final tally of scores, the pressing need is to make the transition successful within the frame work of national unity. Maoist chairman Prachanda's speech, made immediately after his election from Kirtipur on Saturday, was a message of reassurance to the other parties, security personnel, civil servants, and to the international community.

Nepal’s sociopolitical landscape is going to be drastically changed by the result of the Constituent Assembly election. The background, nature and futuristic con sequences of CA are deterministic. Never in the history of modern Nepal had an all embracing movement like Jana Andolan II been launched. The 1950 anti Rana armed movement also aimed at holding CA election and promised political stability and popular sovereignty, but was soon forgotten by principal players of the movement the King and the political parties resulting in 1960 royal coup ushering in a full fledged monarchical rule. Political parties could be partially blamed for compromising the spirit of CA in the wake of rapid rise of monarchy as a de facto force. The king once again asserted his authority in 2002 2006 sidelining the political parties along with the blatant violation of the spirit of 1990 Constitution.

The second experiment with multiparty system and semi-constitutional monarchy once again ended in absolute monarchy in 2005 when King Gyanendra usurped power by abusing the spirit of constitution. The recurrent rise of monarchy led people to conclude that in Nepal, democracy and monarchy are antagonistic forces. Thus the broad coalition of forces of juxta-posed ideologies and strategic positions was possible. A moderate party like the Nepali Congress could turn republican. Now the major parties, namely the NC, CPNUML and CPN Maoist, are in common on almost all agendas for making "new Nepal". Coming as it does against the back ground of the movement, the CA election is significant not only for drafting a new constitution but also for setting the pace for the country's march to a federal republic, inclusive democracy and permanent peace.

The election has belied all rumours of political backlash and uncertainty. Now people are much concerned about consequences of CA election and likely unfolding scenario in the country. They are anxious about Maoist move to democratise Nepali polity and society. The Maoists need to be happy with holding of CA election and the mandate it is likely to get from the people because of its long struggle for achieving it. In a democracy, parties' rise and fall can be seen during periodic elections. Winston Churchill won the Second World War as one of the Alliance leaders even though his party was defeated in the election. In political parties, charisma also matters but it is momentary because charisma needs to be institutionalised to achieve political stability. Sometimes, parties' credible role during the crucial period of political development also arrests the erosion of party's image. GP Koirala, despite his initial ambivalence towards progressive agenda such as abolition of monarchy and inclusive democracy, has proved to be the most pragmatic and visionary leader. His leader ship of the Seven Party Alliance and government has earned both national and inter national acclaim.

The SPA triumvirate GP Koirala, Prachanda and Madhav Nepal deserves three cheers for steering the complex course of Nepali politics. If they work in tandem in the future too, political stability and progress is assured. What the postelection politics requires is their unity, vision and capacity to adopt progressive agenda for improving people's condition within the democratic framework. Nevertheless, holding of election and formation of government alone do not guarantee stability and progress if the parties pick quarrels on small pre texts. The present political landscape is not likely to allow a single party to act independently of other partners. The continued cooperation and understanding is desirable due to broad ideological convergence of these forces. Since there is hardly any difference on their agenda, major parties have no qualm about continuing their mutual cooperation. Recent commitments of prominent leaders assure the Nepali people and inter national community that Nepali politicians can stand up to such an occasion. The practice of immediate consultation they adopt when crisis arises suggests that they are alive to the needs of time. Despite all such positive developments, political leaders have yet to demonstrate that they have shed their narrow partisan spirit while conducting the affairs of the government.

Modern political system demands impartiality, accountability and quick policy decisions. Parties' failure to rise above petty interest would no longer be acceptable to the people. The tightrope walking policies of the Interim Government had been justified by the excuse of CA election and the need to maintain SPA unity, but people now want order, security and effective governance. The making of constitution should also be less cumbersome and time consuming. Parties should try to reach a consensus on some tangled issues such as units of federal structure, respect for proportional representation as per the distribution of percentage of seats and adherence to the process of institutionalisation. Dr Baral is executive chairman, NCCS

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Nepal Elections 2008




Chief Election Commissioner Bhojraj Pokharel (right) with former US President Jimmy Carter at the Election Commission in Kathmandu, Tuesday.

Q&A: the Nepalese elections

Nepal tomorrow votes for an assembly body in historic elections that will rewrite the constitution, and which are expected to unseat the unpopular King Gyanendra, abolishing the country's 240-year-old monarchy.

Wedged between India and China, Nepal is strategically important, and its 17 million voters have been wooed by more than 70 political parties, many of them ingenues in the rough and tumble of democracy. The campaign, the first since the late 90s, has been relatively peaceful – and the poll comes after a decade of bloody civil war.

However, a fresh wave of violence, including a reported six killings today, has rocked the polls. Tens of thousands of police officers have been deployed across the Himalayan country, and officials say security has been tightened around the 21,000 polling booths.

Why now?

The polls tomorrow are the climax of a peace process that ended a decade-long war launched by Maoist guerrillas that left at least 13,000 dead.

Why did the Maoists give up the gun?

The Maoists called a ceasefire after King Gyanendra restored parliament and ended a year of absolute rule in April 2006. The palace had faced weeks of strikes and protests on the streets. Political parties joined hands with the Maoists as a prelude to bringing them into government.

Will the Maoists become a normal political party?

As long as the polls are fair and free, it is unlikely the Maoists will return to war. The Maoist leadership has kept 30,000 soldiers from the People's Liberation Army into UN-monitored camps and signed up for peace.

But haven't the Maoists been accused of intimidating voters in Nepal?

Yes. The Maoists' youth wing has run a campaign of terror in many towns. But they have also been the targets of attacks. It was claimed today that six of their party workers had been shot dead.

Is the monarchy to be ended immediately?

No. Nepal's Hindu monarchy is to be scrapped after elections for the constituent assembly. The former rebels made this a condition of entering politics, and political parties accepted that the monarchy would be abolished.

What will be left of the monarchy in Nepal?

Not much. The present king is feared rather than respected. Gyanendra came to the throne after his nephew killed most of the royal family during an argument over whom he was allowed marry in June 2001. Sensing the weakness of Nepal's politicians and accusing them of inaction during the civil war, he seized power in early 2005. Analysts say he set about creating an absolute monarchy in the Hindu kingdom despite the clear unpopularity of the then heir apparent, Crown Prince Paras, a playboy infamous for his reckless driving. But after street protests drove him from power, the king was slowly cut down to size. He remains extraordinarily rich in an exceptionally poor country, but he will be taxed, and his spending controlled, while his acts will be open to scrutiny in court or in parliament. His country estates are likely be split up and sold off.

Will the Maoist guerrillas be disarmed after the elections?

Yes, but no one knows how. The UN security council gave the UN peace mission, which oversees the demobilisation, a remit only until July. The Maoists want their fighters absorbed into the Nepalese army, but the move has been opposed by officers. Big questions also remain unresolved over the thousands of people who disappeared in the civil war.

Did China back the Maoists?

No. Until recently, Beijing disowned them. The Maoists say they are inspired by Chinese revolutionary leader Mao Zedong, and want to establish a communist state. Led by Prachanda, or "the fierce one", the Maoists say they found inspiration in Peru's Maoist Shining Path guerrillas. Prachanda says that, unlike Peru's rebels, they decided to enter politics because it offered a better way to found a socialist state. Up close, Nepal's Maoists appear more like India's Marxist parties, who gave up revolution for democratic evolution decades ago and are now part of the mainstream.

Ethnic violence erupted last year in Nepal. Why?

Identity politics have bubbled beneath the surface of Nepal for decades. The country's 27 million people are as diverse as its topography. Nepal has 100 native tongues and half a dozen religions. There are 60 indigenous nationalities, popularly perceived to be Mongoloid, who constitute more than 35% of the population. Overlaying these identities are caste and gender. So the Indo-origin people of the plains, the Madhesi, also have their own internal stratification, with untouchables at the bottom of the pile. People living in the hills, known as Pahadis, have traditionally held power in Nepal. Yet the arrival of democracy in 1950, and then again in 1990, did little to include Nepal's minorities.

The 1990 constitution, while an improvement on the non-democratic system that preceded it, entrenched power in the hands of the few. The Hindu religion was promoted. Sanskrit and Nepali were designated as the national languages. Despite a long history in Nepal, Buddhism became a bystander religion in the country. Until 2006, power was consolidated in the hands of the Hindu elite, dominated by two castes, the Brahmins and the Chettris. Whether the palace or the parliament was supreme was largely irrelevant. Caste groups from either politics or royalty dominated Nepal.

The result was an alarming capture of power. The Brahmin-Chettris, who make up 30% of the population, occupied two-thirds of the top positions in the security forces, judiciary and civil service. By comparison, the indigenous communities took up just 7% of the high-ranking posts. The solution to the complex issue is one of the big issues facing the new assembly. The Madhesis - roughly a third of Nepal's population - are now demanding rights after years of neglect. This has brought them into conflict with powerful vested interests. For example, the Nepalese army insists it will not accept any Madhesi recruitment. Some groups have started from where the Maoists left off, and taken to the hills with arms. Political violence has killed over 100 people in the last 12 months.

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The mission of Peace Nepal Group is to create an international awareness and stimulate action towards the establishment of a peaceful society in Nepal.